Market and Underwriting

Back to Home. Main analysis: Investment Analysis. Calculator: Decision Calculator. Cost model: Cost Model. Rent comps: Rent Comps.

Acquisition metrics

Current decision range: $2.0M to $3.495M. The upper bound is the current listed-price frame used in the calculator.

Assumptions:

Purchase price
Price / existing unit
Price / existing building SF
Price / land SF
$2,000,000
$250,000
~$346
~$254
$2,500,000
$312,500
~$432
~$318
$3,000,000
$375,000
~$518
~$381
$3,495,000
$436,875
~$604
~$444

Tax sensitivity

Purchase price
1.10%
1.20%
1.25%
1.30%
Monthly at 1.25%
$2,000,000
$22,000
$24,000
$25,000
$26,000
$2,083
$2,500,000
$27,500
$30,000
$31,250
$32,500
$2,604
$3,000,000
$33,000
$36,000
$37,500
$39,000
$3,125
$3,495,000
$38,445
$41,940
$43,688
$45,435
$3,641

Exact assessment treatment must be verified.

Rent scenarios

Using 6 x 1BR and 2 x 2BR:

Scenario
1BR rent
2BR rent
Gross monthly
Gross annual
Use
Base fallback
$3,500
$4,750
$30,500
$366,000
Downside check
Renovated furnished base
$4,250
$5,750
$37,000
$444,000
Primary early case
Furnished upside
$4,750
$6,500
$41,500
$498,000
Upside case if comps prove it
Aggressive premium
$5,500
$7,500
$48,000
$576,000
Ceiling; not base case

Underwriting takeaway

The deal is mainly sensitive to:

  1. Purchase price. Moving from $3.495M toward $2.75M or lower creates real room for renovation and risk.
  2. Total budget. Owner-sourced work may create value, but systems, legal, insurance, and contingency cannot be wished away.
  3. Achieved rent. Premium rents need direct proof. The model should not rely on luxury comps that are larger, newer, or materially better.
  4. Operating expense drag. Taxes, insurance, utilities, vacancy, repairs, furniture replacement, and management can absorb much of the gross-rent premium.
  5. Debt terms. If financing is involved, DSCR may be the gating constraint. Use Decision Calculator with debt enabled.

Related notes